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Sanctions, Deterrence, Regime Change: A New Look at US-Iran Relations

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Mahmood Monshipouri

Dr. Monshipouri is a professor in the International Relations Department at San Francisco State University and a lecturer in global studies/international and area studies and the Fall Program for First Semester at the University of California, Berkeley.

Giorgio Davide Boggio

Mr. Boggio is a researcher in the International Relations Department at San Francisco State University.

 

Over the past four decades, the United States has managed its foreign policy toward Iran through a combination of sanctions, diplomatic incentives, and threats of military intervention. This approach has come down to two choices: war or sanctions. Clearly, sanctions have deprived Iran of access to foreign investment in its oil and energy sectors, caused many oil companies to withdraw from Iran, and dramatically reduced Iran's oil revenue. However, sanctions have had a more damaging effect on ordinary people than on the targeted leaders of the country. Sanctions have neither altered Iran's foreign-policy conduct nor led to regime change. Before Iran is completely pushed into the arms of China and Russia, the third option—diplomacy with a potentially new regime—deserves attention. The next few years will likely answer the question of how these difficult and explosive US-Iranian relations will be managed: through diplomacy, ongoing sanctions, or by escalatory deterrence.

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Also in this issue

  • SYMPOSIUM - Iran: Historical Context and Latest Developments
  • Sanctions, Deterrence, Regime Change: A New Look at US-Iran Relations
  • A Rare Successful Nonproliferation Policy: The JCPOA
  • Iran's Trade with Neighbors: Sanctions’ Impact and the Alternatives
  • The US Impact on Qatar's Foreign Policy During the Gulf Crisis
  • The US Adventure in Western Sahara: From Ford to Trump

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Middle East Policy

Volume XXX
Summer 2023
Number 2

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The Middle East Policy Council is a nonprofit organization whose mission is to contribute to American understanding of the political, economic and cultural issues that affect U.S. interests in the Middle East.

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