Speeches
The Transitions in America, the World, and the Middle East
On January 20, Donald Trump will become the 45th president of the United States. He will confront a changed world. We are only two-fifths of the way through the interval between the election and the inauguration, but the ebb in deference to American global leadership is already unmistakable.
"One Belt, One Road:" What's in It for Us?
Alexander the Great is said to have declared that "logisticians are a humorless lot … they know if my campaign fails, they are the first ones I will slay." He was the one of the first strategists to understand the importance of connectivity and also to point out that there are not a lot of jokes
Visions of the World and the U.S. Role in It
Chris has asked me to lay out the foreign policy issues the next president will face upon taking office this coming January. If you go by what each candidate has said, she or he just needs to kill a few foreign leaders and renegotiate some alliances and trade deals. But there are some ot
The Domestic Consequences of America’s Many Wars in the Middle East
In just four weeks, as the press never tires of pointing out, Americans will elect “a new commander-in-chief.” But no one claims that we will elect a president able to govern, even if she or he commands our uniquely powerful military establishment. There is almost no rea
The American Way of War Reconsidered
I’m a retired diplomat. The late Arthur Goldberg, who served on our Supreme Court and as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, once said that “diplomats approach every question with an open . . .
Turkey in the New Geopolitical Context
In some ways, Turkey has a better claim than China to be the “the middle kingdom.” Ankara sits at the center of a vast web of geopolitical relationships, most of which interact with each other as well as with it, but all of which can be seriously perturbed by changes in Turkish policy. Turkey’s
Things Fall Apart: America, Europe, and Asia in the New World Disorder
We have entered a world in which, as William Butler Yeats put it in 1919:
Reimagining Relations with Iran
The United States and Iran are divided by vivid memories of reciprocally inflicted trauma and the insistent pleading of mutually antagonistic client states in the Middle East. Each has demonized the other. The political costs to leaders in each country of reaching out to the other are immediate
The Maritime Dimension of “One Belt, One Road” in Strategic Perspective
“One belt, one road” (OBOR) was a slogan before it became a concept in search of content. It is now evolving into many plans and projects, some of them with huge implications.
U.S. Policy and the Geopolitical Dynamics of the Middle East
I have been asked to speak about the geopolitical dynamics of the Middle East, the realignments occurring among states there, and the prospects for the achievement of renewed stability in the region.