This year started with a series of significant political developments in the Middle East. The Jasmine Revolution in Tunisia, the collapse of the Lebanese government and the revolution in Egypt demonstrate the need for timely, thoughtful analysis of these turbulent political transitions.
Lost in the news barrage on Egypt are two important developments elsewhere in the region: the scheduling of new elections in West Bank and Gaza and the attempt to create a Hezbollah-led government in Lebanon.
The extraordinary uprisings in the Arab world that began in early 2011 have already achieved extraordinary results: the departure of Tunisia’s long-ruling authoritarian president, and statements by Egypt’s and Yemen’s presidents that they will not run for re-election or attempt to bequeath
President Barack Obama’s electoral promises of change in foreign policy have come under fire these last few weeks. The reaction from observers and commentators in the Middle East to the U.S. response to unrest in Tunisia and Egypt has not been kind.
With the protests in Egypt showing no signs of abating, many regional governments are taking measures to head off any possibility of a spillover into their own countries.
One prediction about the “War on Terror” can be made with great confidence: It is not going to end any time soon, or even dramatically subside. There are several possible ways, though, in which it could evolve.